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Canadian employers expect moderate hiring, Mexico plans relatively stable

March 13 2019

Canadian employers expect a moderate hiring climate and modest gains in employment, according to the second-quarter Manpower Employment Outlook Survey, released by ManpowerGroup Inc. (NYSE: MAN). And Mexican employers report relatively stable hiring intentions in the second quarter when compared to the previous year.

Canadian organizations plan to add staff across all 10 industry sectors in the second quarter.

The Canada survey found 16% of employers expect to increase staffing levels and 3% anticipate cutbacks. This results in a net employment outlook of 10% on a seasonally adjusted basis, which is down two percentage points when compared with the prior quarter and down four percentage points from this time one year ago.

The net employment outlook is derived by taking the percentage of employers anticipating an increase in hiring activity and subtracting from this the percentage of employers expecting a decrease in hiring activity.

The strongest Canadian labor markets are anticipated by employers in the transportation and public utilities sector and in the public administration sector, with net employment outlooks of 24% and 16% respectively.

Canadian job growth has picked up in the first quarter of 2019, and this appears to be reflected in the forecast for the second quarter of 2019,” said Darlene Minatel, country manager for ManpowerGroup Canada. “With the private sector ramping up hiring efforts, 66,800 new jobs were created January, and this trend can be expected to continue in second quarter of the year.”

All four regions in Canada report positive second-quarter hiring plans. Employers in Quebec expect the most favorable hiring climate for the coming quarter with an employment outlook of 18%.

Mexico

Meanwhile, Mexican employers expect a steady hiring pace for the next three months.

The survey found 16% of employers in Mexico forecast an increase in staffing levels in the second quarter; 3% anticipate a decrease, 78% expect no change and 3% are unsure. This yields a net employment outlook of 12% on a seasonally adjusted basis — a decrease of two percentage points compared to the similar survey conducted last quarter and down one percentage point from the outlook for the second quarter of 2018.

Employers in Mexico’s manufacture sector report the most optimistic hiring intentions for the second quarter. Mexico’s net employment outlook, seasonally adjusted, by sector:

  • Manufacture: up 16%
  • Agriculture and fishing: up 14%
  • Transport and communication: up 13%
  • Mining and extraction: up 12%
  • Services: up 11%
  • Commerce: up 10%
  • Construction: up 7%

Employers in the Northeast, Northwest and North regions report the strongest hiring intentions, with net employment outlooks of 14% each. This may be caused by expected investments, mainly in manufacturing.

ManpowerGroup’s employment outlook survey data include responses from 1,922 employers in Canada and 4,807 employers in Mexico.

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